C. Decision Making, Forecasting & Problem Solving

Ayres, Ian.  (2007).  Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-by-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart.  New York: Bantam. 

Baron, Jonathan. (2000). Thinking and Deciding. Cambridge: The Press Syndicate of the University of Cambridge.

Bazerman, Max H. (2002). Judgment In Managerial Decision Making. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons.

Belsky, Gary, and Gilovich, Thomas. (1999). Why Smart People Make Big Money Mistakes. New York: Simon & Schuster.

Bernstein, Peter L. (1998). Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk. New York: John Wiley & Sons.

Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. (2009). The Predictioneer’s Game. New York: Random House.

Burger, Edward B., and Starbird, Michael. (2005). Coincidences, Chaos, and All That Math Jazz. New York: W.W. Norton & Company.

Chiles, James R. (2001). Inviting Disaster. New York: HarperCollins Publishers, Inc.

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Davidson, Janet E., and Sternberg, Robert J., eds. (2003). The Psychology of Problem Solving. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.

Dorner, Dietrich. (1996). The Logic of Failure. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Basic Books.

Felsteiner, William, Abel, Richard L. & Sarat, Austin. The Emergence and Transformation of Disputes: Naming, Blaming, Claiming. Law & Society Review, Vol. 15, No. 3-4, pp. 631-654.

Finkelstein, Michael. (2009). Basic Concepts of Probability and Statistics in the Law. New York: Springer Science+Business Media LLC.

Gerstein, Marc. (2008). Flirting With Disaster. New York: London Square Press.

Gigerenzer, Gerd & Goldstein, Daniel G. (1996). Reasoning the Fast and Frugal Way: Models of Bounded Rationality. Psychological Review, Vol. 103, No. 4, pp, 650-669.

Gigerenzer, Gerd & Todd, Peter M. (1999). Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart. New York: Oxford University Press, Inc.

Gigerenzer, Gerd. (2002). Calculated Risks. New York: Simon & Schuster.

Gladwell, Malcolm. (2005). Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking. New York: Little, Brown and Company.

Goldstein, William and Hogarth, Robin (Eds.) (1997). Research on Judgment and Decision Making. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

Green, Kesten C. Forecasting Decisions in Conflict Situations: A Comparison of Game Theory, Role Playing, and Unaided Judgment. International Journal of Forecasting 18 (2002), p. 321.

Hammond, John S., Keeney, Ralph & Raiffa, Howard. (1999). Smart Choices. New York: Broadway Books.

Harvard Business Review on Decision Making. (2001). Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard Business School Publishing Corporation.

Hastie, Reid & Dawes, Robyn M. (2001). Rational Choice In An Uncertain World. Thousand Oaks, California: Sage Publications, Inc.

Hoch, Stephen J., and Kunreuther, Howard C., (eds.). (2001). Wharton On Making Decisions. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Iyengar, Sheena. (2010). The Art of Choosing. New York: Twelve.

Janis, Irving. (1989). Crucial Decisions. New York: The Free Press.

Janis, Irving. (1972). Victims of Groupthink. Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company.

Jolls, Christine, and Sunstein, Cass. Debiasing Through Law. The Journal of Legal Studies, Vol. 35(1) (January 2006), p. 199.

Jones, Morgan D. (1998). The Thinker's Toolkit. New York: Three Rivers Press.

Klein, Gary. (1998). Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions. Cambridge, Massachusetts: The MIT Press.

Klein, Gary. (2009). Streetlights and Shadows. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press.

Kleindorfer, Paul R., et al. Decision Sciences. (1993). Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.

Levmore, Saul. Conjunction and Aggregation. Chicago, John M. Olin Law & Economics Working Paper No. 110.

Loftus, Elizabeth F., and Wagenaar, Willem A., Lawyers' Predictions of Success, Jurimetrics, 28:437 (Summer 1988).

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March, James. (1994). A Primer On Decision Making. New York: The Free Press.

Myers, David G. (2002). Intuition: Its Powers and Perils. New Haven: Yale University Press.

Nalebuff, Barry, and Ayres, Ian. (2003). Why Not? Boston, Massachusetts: Harvard Business School Press.

Plous, Scott. (1993). The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making. New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc.

Reason, James. (1990). Human Error. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Russo, J. Edward & Schoemaker, Paul, J.H. (2002). Winning Decisions. New York: Doubleday.

Saffo, Paul.  “Six Rules for Effective Forecasting.”  Harvard Business Review, July-August 2007.

Salsburg, David.  (2002).   The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century.  New York:  Owl Books.

Schelling, Thomas C. (1984). Choice and Consequence: Perspectives of an Errant Economist. (1984). Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press.

Schneider, Sandra L. and Shanteau, James (Eds.). Emerging Perspectives on Judgment and Decision Research. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Schwartz, Barry. (2004). The Paradox of Choice. New York: HarperCollins Publishers.

Strauch, Barry. (2004). Investigating Human Error: Incidents, Accidents and Complex Systems. Burlington, Vermont: Ashgate Publishing Company.

Surowiecki, James. The Catastrophe Problem. The New Yorker, January 10, 2005, p. 30.

Surowiecki, James. (2004). The Wisdom of Crowds. New York: Doubleday.

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. (2004). Fooled By Randomness. New York: Random House.

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. (2007). The Black Swan. New York: Random House.

Watkins, Michael D., and Bazerman, Max H. Predictable Surprises: The Disasters You Should Have Seen Coming. Harvard Business Review, March 2003, p. 72.

Winkler, Robert.  (2003).  An Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision.  Gainesville, Florida: Probabilistic Publishing.

Zsambok, Caroline E., and Klein, Gary. (Eds.) (1996). Naturalistic Decision Making.